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摘要:隨著信息技術(shù)的飛速發(fā)展,全球迎來了大數(shù)據(jù)時(shí)代,社會(huì)經(jīng)濟(jì)得到了飛速的發(fā)展,給人們的生產(chǎn)生活方式帶來了天翻地覆的變化。大數(shù)據(jù)時(shí)代背景下,人們的經(jīng)濟(jì)生活水平不斷提高,社會(huì)經(jīng)濟(jì)結(jié)構(gòu)發(fā)生了較大的變化,這也給經(jīng)濟(jì)統(tǒng)計(jì)工作帶來巨大的挑戰(zhàn)。本文介紹了經(jīng)濟(jì)統(tǒng)計(jì)學(xué)的內(nèi)涵,分析了大數(shù)據(jù)時(shí)代下的經(jīng)濟(jì)統(tǒng)計(jì)學(xué)發(fā)展現(xiàn)狀,并探索了經(jīng)濟(jì)統(tǒng)計(jì)應(yīng)用創(chuàng)新途徑,以促進(jìn)經(jīng)濟(jì)統(tǒng)計(jì)工作的順利開展。
關(guān)鍵詞:大數(shù)據(jù)時(shí)代;經(jīng)濟(jì)統(tǒng)計(jì);應(yīng)用
一個(gè)國家的經(jīng)濟(jì)水平與人們的生產(chǎn)生活息息相關(guān),經(jīng)濟(jì)統(tǒng)計(jì)學(xué)是國家相關(guān)部門為了社會(huì)經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展制定的經(jīng)濟(jì)政策或標(biāo)準(zhǔn)時(shí),這就需要對(duì)人們生產(chǎn)生活的相關(guān)經(jīng)濟(jì)數(shù)據(jù)進(jìn)行收集與分析。早在17世紀(jì),西方國家開始運(yùn)用統(tǒng)計(jì)學(xué)解決經(jīng)濟(jì)問題。利用經(jīng)濟(jì)統(tǒng)計(jì)能夠解決一些經(jīng)濟(jì)現(xiàn)象,并為制定經(jīng)濟(jì)決策提供依據(jù)?,F(xiàn)在社會(huì),經(jīng)濟(jì)統(tǒng)計(jì)學(xué)有更廣泛的應(yīng)用,但是大數(shù)據(jù)時(shí)代的到來,經(jīng)濟(jì)統(tǒng)計(jì)問題在應(yīng)用過程中日益凸顯。因此,應(yīng)加強(qiáng)對(duì)當(dāng)代經(jīng)濟(jì)統(tǒng)計(jì)應(yīng)用問題的研究與分析,積極創(chuàng)新經(jīng)濟(jì)統(tǒng)計(jì)方法,提高經(jīng)濟(jì)統(tǒng)計(jì)的效率和應(yīng)用水平,以保障社會(huì)經(jīng)濟(jì)穩(wěn)健發(fā)展。
一、經(jīng)濟(jì)統(tǒng)計(jì)學(xué)概述及大數(shù)據(jù)時(shí)代下的發(fā)展現(xiàn)狀分析
(一)經(jīng)濟(jì)統(tǒng)計(jì)學(xué)內(nèi)涵統(tǒng)計(jì)學(xué)研究范圍較廣,經(jīng)濟(jì)統(tǒng)計(jì)學(xué)屬于經(jīng)濟(jì)領(lǐng)域運(yùn)用中的一個(gè)分支,它主要研究統(tǒng)計(jì)分析原理和統(tǒng)計(jì)分析技術(shù)在國民經(jīng)濟(jì)領(lǐng)域的應(yīng)用,主要內(nèi)容是研究經(jīng)濟(jì)數(shù)據(jù),設(shè)置一定要求的經(jīng)濟(jì)指標(biāo)和經(jīng)濟(jì)范圍,進(jìn)行相關(guān)經(jīng)濟(jì)數(shù)據(jù)分析,并總結(jié)經(jīng)濟(jì)現(xiàn)象和規(guī)律。經(jīng)濟(jì)統(tǒng)計(jì)可以使人們對(duì)經(jīng)濟(jì)活動(dòng)狀況有更加深刻的了解,使人看到深層次的經(jīng)濟(jì)關(guān)系,發(fā)現(xiàn)經(jīng)濟(jì)活動(dòng)的規(guī)律和變化趨勢(shì),從而成為政府、企業(yè)或個(gè)人做經(jīng)濟(jì)決策和經(jīng)濟(jì)決定的重要依據(jù)??偠灾?jīng)濟(jì)統(tǒng)計(jì)學(xué)有較高的應(yīng)用意義與價(jià)值。
(二)大數(shù)據(jù)時(shí)代下經(jīng)濟(jì)統(tǒng)計(jì)發(fā)展分析隨著信息技術(shù)的飛速發(fā)展,全球迎來大數(shù)據(jù)時(shí)代。大數(shù)據(jù)時(shí)代背景下,經(jīng)濟(jì)數(shù)據(jù)信息量十分龐大。而且有著復(fù)雜多樣的特點(diǎn),數(shù)據(jù)信息激增,給經(jīng)濟(jì)統(tǒng)計(jì)的數(shù)據(jù)收集與分析帶來了很多困難。此外,信息化時(shí)代,圖片、視頻等數(shù)據(jù)信息更新增長速度十分快,而且有價(jià)值的信息較少,傳統(tǒng)的計(jì)算機(jī)經(jīng)濟(jì)統(tǒng)計(jì)數(shù)據(jù)處理方法,無法滿足快速提取有效價(jià)值的數(shù)據(jù)信息的需求。當(dāng)今經(jīng)濟(jì)社會(huì)意識(shí)形態(tài)下,經(jīng)濟(jì)統(tǒng)計(jì)工作需要搜索更多的經(jīng)濟(jì)數(shù)量資料,對(duì)所搜集的信息的整合與分析提出了更高的要求。目前,經(jīng)濟(jì)統(tǒng)計(jì)的發(fā)展落后于大數(shù)據(jù)時(shí)代的發(fā)展速度,使經(jīng)濟(jì)統(tǒng)計(jì)在具體應(yīng)用中因?yàn)榉治龇椒ㄅc手段等因素的干擾造成無法及時(shí)有效地提取并分析有價(jià)值的經(jīng)濟(jì)數(shù)據(jù)資料的問題,嚴(yán)重影響了經(jīng)濟(jì)統(tǒng)計(jì)結(jié)果的科學(xué)性和有效性。
二、大數(shù)據(jù)時(shí)代下經(jīng)濟(jì)統(tǒng)計(jì)應(yīng)用存在的問題分析
(一)經(jīng)濟(jì)統(tǒng)計(jì)理念落后隨著社會(huì)的不斷發(fā)展進(jìn)步,經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展形勢(shì)日趨復(fù)雜,分析社會(huì)經(jīng)濟(jì)現(xiàn)象及社會(huì)經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展所蘊(yùn)含的規(guī)律面臨著巨大的挑戰(zhàn)。目前,人們對(duì)經(jīng)濟(jì)統(tǒng)計(jì)分析理論存在較大的認(rèn)知偏差,沒有做到與時(shí)俱進(jìn)。經(jīng)濟(jì)統(tǒng)計(jì)是用于分析各類經(jīng)濟(jì)現(xiàn)象的有效方法,合理應(yīng)用經(jīng)濟(jì)統(tǒng)計(jì)可以對(duì)經(jīng)濟(jì)現(xiàn)象背后數(shù)據(jù)資料進(jìn)行深入挖掘,從而探索出經(jīng)濟(jì)規(guī)律。大數(shù)據(jù)時(shí)代,更加凸顯了傳統(tǒng)統(tǒng)計(jì)理念的弊端,對(duì)大數(shù)據(jù)技術(shù)及其應(yīng)用的忽視,導(dǎo)致我國經(jīng)濟(jì)統(tǒng)計(jì)能力與水平停滯不前,嚴(yán)重阻礙了經(jīng)濟(jì)統(tǒng)計(jì)的應(yīng)用和發(fā)展。
(二)缺乏統(tǒng)計(jì)設(shè)備工具傳統(tǒng)的經(jīng)濟(jì)統(tǒng)計(jì)工作主要依靠計(jì)算機(jī)進(jìn)行數(shù)據(jù)計(jì)算與相關(guān)經(jīng)濟(jì)模型的建立,這種方法能夠滿足非大數(shù)據(jù)時(shí)代的經(jīng)濟(jì)統(tǒng)計(jì)需求。大數(shù)據(jù)時(shí)代的到來,使經(jīng)濟(jì)統(tǒng)計(jì)工作帶來巨大的挑戰(zhàn)。數(shù)據(jù)信息量激增,種類復(fù)雜多樣,對(duì)數(shù)據(jù)的計(jì)、存儲(chǔ)、分析要求越來越高,同時(shí)還需要更高級(jí)的設(shè)備與工具提供技術(shù)支持和保障。當(dāng)前,經(jīng)濟(jì)數(shù)據(jù)采集工作,需要有較高的數(shù)據(jù)收集能力的設(shè)備及數(shù)據(jù)傳感設(shè)備、無線通信設(shè)備等進(jìn)行數(shù)據(jù)傳輸。進(jìn)行經(jīng)濟(jì)數(shù)據(jù)統(tǒng)計(jì)計(jì)算時(shí),需要配置能夠深入挖掘數(shù)據(jù)信息的PC設(shè)備,同時(shí)還需要更加高級(jí)的數(shù)據(jù)存儲(chǔ)設(shè)備。就目前來看,我國經(jīng)濟(jì)統(tǒng)計(jì)工作相關(guān)設(shè)備不夠完善,不能滿足經(jīng)濟(jì)統(tǒng)計(jì)發(fā)展需求,制約了現(xiàn)代經(jīng)濟(jì)統(tǒng)計(jì)技術(shù)的發(fā)揮與應(yīng)用。
(三)經(jīng)濟(jì)統(tǒng)計(jì)方式落后科學(xué)恰當(dāng)?shù)慕?jīng)濟(jì)統(tǒng)計(jì)方式能夠保障經(jīng)濟(jì)統(tǒng)計(jì)結(jié)果客觀性。傳統(tǒng)的經(jīng)濟(jì)統(tǒng)計(jì)方式已經(jīng)不能滿足現(xiàn)代社會(huì)經(jīng)濟(jì)的發(fā)展需求,經(jīng)濟(jì)統(tǒng)計(jì)方式應(yīng)根據(jù)社會(huì)經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展而變化,做到與時(shí)俱進(jìn)。因此,應(yīng)積極創(chuàng)新經(jīng)濟(jì)數(shù)據(jù)處理方法,提高經(jīng)濟(jì)數(shù)據(jù)統(tǒng)計(jì)問題的速度與效率。目前常用的經(jīng)濟(jì)統(tǒng)計(jì)方法相對(duì)落后,沒有做到積極引進(jìn)先進(jìn)的經(jīng)濟(jì)統(tǒng)計(jì)技術(shù)與方式,經(jīng)濟(jì)統(tǒng)計(jì)效率低下,影響了經(jīng)濟(jì)統(tǒng)計(jì)效果,進(jìn)而阻礙了經(jīng)濟(jì)統(tǒng)計(jì)的發(fā)展水平。
(四)經(jīng)濟(jì)統(tǒng)計(jì)人才不足大數(shù)據(jù)時(shí)代,若想提高經(jīng)濟(jì)統(tǒng)計(jì)發(fā)展水平,不僅需要引入新的大數(shù)據(jù)技術(shù),更需要掌握大數(shù)據(jù)技術(shù)的相關(guān)人才。目前,我國經(jīng)濟(jì)統(tǒng)計(jì)人才不足,一方面,從事經(jīng)濟(jì)統(tǒng)計(jì)工作的人員老齡化嚴(yán)重,缺少新鮮血液。另一方面,現(xiàn)有經(jīng)濟(jì)統(tǒng)計(jì)的工作人員工作積極性不高,缺乏對(duì)經(jīng)濟(jì)統(tǒng)計(jì)工作的正確認(rèn)識(shí)。受這兩方面因素影響,經(jīng)濟(jì)統(tǒng)計(jì)方法長時(shí)間得不到創(chuàng)新,經(jīng)濟(jì)統(tǒng)計(jì)結(jié)果的準(zhǔn)確性無法保證,大大降低了統(tǒng)計(jì)工作的效率。
三、大數(shù)據(jù)時(shí)代背景下經(jīng)濟(jì)統(tǒng)計(jì)應(yīng)用發(fā)展策略
(一)改變傳統(tǒng)的經(jīng)濟(jì)統(tǒng)計(jì)理念要想改變經(jīng)濟(jì)統(tǒng)計(jì)工作發(fā)展現(xiàn)狀,首先應(yīng)改變傳統(tǒng)的經(jīng)濟(jì)統(tǒng)計(jì)理念,相關(guān)部門應(yīng)重視經(jīng)濟(jì)統(tǒng)計(jì)理念的重塑。經(jīng)濟(jì)統(tǒng)計(jì)理念是開展經(jīng)濟(jì)統(tǒng)計(jì)工作的風(fēng)向標(biāo),嚴(yán)重影響經(jīng)濟(jì)統(tǒng)計(jì)工作效果,科學(xué)的經(jīng)濟(jì)統(tǒng)計(jì)理念能夠引導(dǎo)經(jīng)濟(jì)統(tǒng)計(jì)工作順利進(jìn)行,甚至達(dá)到事半功倍的效果。經(jīng)濟(jì)統(tǒng)計(jì)理念,首先要用全新的角度看待經(jīng)濟(jì)統(tǒng)計(jì)工作,重視經(jīng)濟(jì)統(tǒng)計(jì)在分析當(dāng)代社會(huì)經(jīng)濟(jì)現(xiàn)象中的重要地位。同時(shí),還應(yīng)正確認(rèn)識(shí)大數(shù)據(jù)技術(shù),在經(jīng)濟(jì)統(tǒng)計(jì)工作中,加強(qiáng)對(duì)大數(shù)據(jù)技術(shù)的運(yùn)用??茖W(xué)合理地開展經(jīng)濟(jì)統(tǒng)計(jì)工作,還應(yīng)結(jié)合經(jīng)濟(jì)特點(diǎn)進(jìn)行分析,準(zhǔn)確掌握經(jīng)濟(jì)問題內(nèi)部存在的數(shù)據(jù)聯(lián)系,正確認(rèn)識(shí)經(jīng)濟(jì)數(shù)據(jù)分析的煩性和復(fù)雜性,在數(shù)據(jù)分析和處理時(shí),要保證經(jīng)濟(jì)數(shù)據(jù)的充足性和完善性,利用經(jīng)濟(jì)統(tǒng)計(jì)真正解決現(xiàn)實(shí)社會(huì)中經(jīng)濟(jì)問題,以促進(jìn)社會(huì)經(jīng)濟(jì)的穩(wěn)步發(fā)展。
(二)加大統(tǒng)計(jì)人才引進(jìn)與培養(yǎng)力度隨著信息技術(shù)的不斷發(fā)展,信息技術(shù)與電子設(shè)備在生產(chǎn)生活中發(fā)揮越來越大的作用,但是任何技術(shù)都無法代替人類的操作,任何時(shí)代都不能忽視對(duì)人才的培養(yǎng),提高經(jīng)濟(jì)統(tǒng)計(jì)發(fā)展水平,應(yīng)加大對(duì)經(jīng)濟(jì)統(tǒng)計(jì)人才的引進(jìn)和培養(yǎng)力度,全面提升經(jīng)濟(jì)統(tǒng)計(jì)人員的綜合素質(zhì)。對(duì)此,可以在經(jīng)濟(jì)統(tǒng)計(jì)專業(yè)課程中加深專業(yè)知識(shí)教學(xué),并在教材中加入大數(shù)據(jù)相關(guān)知識(shí)與技術(shù),加強(qiáng)對(duì)大數(shù)據(jù)理論與技術(shù)的學(xué)習(xí),以適應(yīng)新時(shí)期經(jīng)濟(jì)統(tǒng)計(jì)工作的需求。另外,還應(yīng)積極引入大數(shù)據(jù)專業(yè)人才,以提高大數(shù)據(jù)技術(shù)在經(jīng)濟(jì)統(tǒng)計(jì)工作中的應(yīng)用。相關(guān)部門可以結(jié)合企業(yè)發(fā)展及工作需求與計(jì)劃的成立經(jīng)濟(jì)統(tǒng)計(jì)專家小組,定期進(jìn)行經(jīng)濟(jì)統(tǒng)計(jì)相關(guān)宣傳與培訓(xùn)工作,加強(qiáng)對(duì)經(jīng)濟(jì)統(tǒng)計(jì)人員的理論培訓(xùn),以促進(jìn)經(jīng)濟(jì)統(tǒng)計(jì)工作的有序進(jìn)行。針對(duì)經(jīng)濟(jì)統(tǒng)計(jì)人員,應(yīng)加大培訓(xùn)管理力度,提高經(jīng)濟(jì)統(tǒng)計(jì)人員對(duì)大數(shù)據(jù)的理解和認(rèn)識(shí),激勵(lì)經(jīng)濟(jì)統(tǒng)計(jì)人員在進(jìn)行經(jīng)濟(jì)統(tǒng)計(jì)工作時(shí)創(chuàng)新工作方法。為此,相關(guān)企業(yè)或部門可以制定完善的獎(jiǎng)懲機(jī)制,鞭策經(jīng)濟(jì)統(tǒng)計(jì)人員,不斷提升自己的專業(yè)能力,從而提高工作效率,確保經(jīng)濟(jì)統(tǒng)計(jì)工作的高效性和準(zhǔn)確性。
(三)加大設(shè)備工具資金投入大數(shù)據(jù)時(shí)代,經(jīng)濟(jì)統(tǒng)計(jì)工作對(duì)設(shè)備和工具的要求越來越高。經(jīng)濟(jì)統(tǒng)計(jì)設(shè)備工具是經(jīng)濟(jì)統(tǒng)計(jì)應(yīng)用的硬件支撐,先進(jìn)而完善的統(tǒng)計(jì)設(shè)備和工具是開展統(tǒng)計(jì)工作的基礎(chǔ)。加大經(jīng)濟(jì)數(shù)據(jù)分析處理相關(guān)設(shè)備和工具的資金投入,有利于經(jīng)濟(jì)統(tǒng)計(jì)工作的順利開展。一般而言,經(jīng)濟(jì)統(tǒng)計(jì)工作需要進(jìn)行數(shù)據(jù)信息采集、分析與存儲(chǔ),因此,應(yīng)建立與經(jīng)濟(jì)運(yùn)行統(tǒng)計(jì)相適應(yīng)的系統(tǒng),包括云平臺(tái)、傳感器、智能終端設(shè)備、客戶端監(jiān)控設(shè)備、數(shù)據(jù)倉庫等。另外,還可以用ETL工具,能夠?qū)崿F(xiàn)系統(tǒng)多元數(shù)據(jù)的抽取、加載和轉(zhuǎn)化處理。借助系統(tǒng)中的GIS地圖等,能夠?qū)崿F(xiàn)統(tǒng)計(jì)結(jié)果的可視化分析與展示。
(四)引進(jìn)先進(jìn)的統(tǒng)計(jì)方法大數(shù)據(jù)時(shí)代,海量的經(jīng)濟(jì)數(shù)據(jù)層出不窮,這加大了經(jīng)濟(jì)統(tǒng)計(jì)數(shù)據(jù)的提煉與分析困難,對(duì)經(jīng)濟(jì)統(tǒng)計(jì)方法有更高的要求。經(jīng)濟(jì)統(tǒng)計(jì)人員應(yīng)掌握各種經(jīng)濟(jì)統(tǒng)計(jì)方法,同時(shí)還要有較強(qiáng)的洞察力,能夠發(fā)現(xiàn)經(jīng)濟(jì)統(tǒng)計(jì)發(fā)展趨勢(shì),結(jié)合根據(jù)經(jīng)濟(jì)統(tǒng)計(jì)的特點(diǎn)靈活運(yùn)用科學(xué)的統(tǒng)計(jì)方法。目前,我國的經(jīng)濟(jì)統(tǒng)計(jì)已經(jīng)得到了一定的發(fā)展,神經(jīng)網(wǎng)絡(luò)法、遺傳計(jì)算法、決策樹等多種經(jīng)濟(jì)統(tǒng)計(jì)方法廣泛應(yīng)用于數(shù)據(jù)統(tǒng)計(jì)領(lǐng)域,能夠較好地保證統(tǒng)計(jì)結(jié)果的準(zhǔn)確性和客觀性。神經(jīng)網(wǎng)絡(luò)法是通過模擬人腦進(jìn)行經(jīng)濟(jì)數(shù)據(jù)加工,實(shí)現(xiàn)經(jīng)濟(jì)數(shù)據(jù)的智能化分析。神經(jīng)網(wǎng)絡(luò)算法應(yīng)用于經(jīng)濟(jì)統(tǒng)計(jì)工作,提高了信息處理效率,能夠準(zhǔn)確反映經(jīng)濟(jì)數(shù)據(jù)間的關(guān)聯(lián),大大增強(qiáng)了統(tǒng)計(jì)結(jié)果的可信度。決策樹方法主要應(yīng)用非參數(shù)識(shí)別方法,對(duì)龐大的數(shù)據(jù)信息進(jìn)行處理,能夠?qū)τ袃r(jià)值的經(jīng)濟(jì)數(shù)據(jù)進(jìn)行高效提煉挖掘,提高了經(jīng)濟(jì)數(shù)據(jù)統(tǒng)計(jì)操作效率,有利于相關(guān)部門制定科學(xué)的經(jīng)濟(jì)決策。遺傳計(jì)算法則是根據(jù)生物遺傳機(jī)制和自然選擇性進(jìn)行經(jīng)濟(jì)數(shù)據(jù)獲取,利用融合搜索算法完成對(duì)經(jīng)濟(jì)數(shù)據(jù)隱性特征的挖掘、分析,從而實(shí)現(xiàn)對(duì)經(jīng)濟(jì)數(shù)據(jù)的歸納整理。創(chuàng)新經(jīng)濟(jì)統(tǒng)計(jì)方法,加強(qiáng)各種統(tǒng)計(jì)方法的綜合運(yùn)用,能夠提高經(jīng)濟(jì)統(tǒng)計(jì)效率,有利于解決實(shí)際經(jīng)濟(jì)問題,是提高經(jīng)濟(jì)統(tǒng)計(jì)發(fā)展水平的重要策略。
結(jié)束語:
經(jīng)濟(jì)統(tǒng)計(jì)是社會(huì)經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展的重要環(huán)節(jié),能夠揭示社會(huì)經(jīng)濟(jì)數(shù)據(jù)規(guī)律,為解決實(shí)際經(jīng)濟(jì)問題提供重要依據(jù)。大數(shù)據(jù)時(shí)代,經(jīng)濟(jì)統(tǒng)計(jì)工作需要從海量的經(jīng)濟(jì)數(shù)據(jù)中完成有價(jià)值的數(shù)據(jù)挖掘,并對(duì)相關(guān)數(shù)據(jù)進(jìn)行分析、存儲(chǔ),對(duì)經(jīng)濟(jì)統(tǒng)計(jì)設(shè)備工具、人員提出了更高的要求,傳統(tǒng)的經(jīng)濟(jì)統(tǒng)計(jì)理念、設(shè)備、方法不能滿足當(dāng)代經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展需求。本文介紹經(jīng)濟(jì)統(tǒng)計(jì)的內(nèi)涵,分析了當(dāng)前我國社會(huì)經(jīng)濟(jì)統(tǒng)計(jì)工作中存在的問題,并針對(duì)現(xiàn)存問題從經(jīng)濟(jì)統(tǒng)計(jì)理念、人員、設(shè)備、方法等多種角度提出了經(jīng)濟(jì)統(tǒng)計(jì)應(yīng)用創(chuàng)新策略,有利于經(jīng)濟(jì)統(tǒng)計(jì)工作順利、高效的開展,以促進(jìn)我國社會(huì)經(jīng)濟(jì)健康穩(wěn)定的發(fā)展。
參考文獻(xiàn):
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作者:牛欣然 單位:武漢城市職業(yè)學(xué)院
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